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| Report 115: Air transport services in regional Australia: trends and access | July 2008 |
By amalgamating and optimising existing information, regional aviation data were collated for the first time into comprehensive time series statistics using a geographical approach. The report used the constructed database to showcase analyses on several aspects of the regional aviation industry over time. It provides comprehensive data analyses of regional aviation trends, geospatial analyses on the accessibility of regional air services, projections of future regional aviation trends, and explorations of possible associations between key socio-demographic factors and the level of access to air services in regional communities.
Through the development of a consistent historical database for regional aviation,this study establishes a platform for more future research in regional aviation. The database offers flexibility to conduct various cross sectional or time series analyses; potentially in conjunction with other data sources. |
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| Working paper 72: Air passenger movements through capital city airports to 2025 - 26 | June 2008 |
| This report presents the forecasts of passenger and aircraft traffic at capital city airports over the next 20 years. The forecasts have been developed on the basis of the estimated econometric models of passenger demand and the most recent economic outlook for Australia and its major trading partners. Australia's eight capital city airports (Adelaide, Brisbane, Canberra, Darwin, Hobart, Melbourne, Perth and Sydney) are included in the development of the forecasts. |
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| Report 113: Cost of Aviation Accidents and Incidents | March 2006 |
| In 1998, the Bureau of Transport Economics published its Report 98 Cost of Civil Aviation Accidents and Incidents. That report was based on occurrences in 1996 and presented values in 1996 dollars. Report 113 is an update of that analysis based on occurrences in the 2003/04 financial year and using 2004 dollar values. |
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| Report 111: General Aviation: An Industry Overview | April 2005 |
| BTRE previously reported on the general aviation sector in 1996, since when it has experienced significant changes. This report sets out to profile the general aviation industry, describe trends in industry activity, and as far as possible explain these trends. The report is primarily based on survey data from BTRE's annual General Aviation Survey and CASA, as well as industry consultation. |
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| Working Paper 54 - Regional Public Transport in Australia: Economic Regulation and Assistance Measures | April 2003 |
Regional public transport plays an important role in meeting the needs of Australians living in regional and remote areas for access to essential services and for mobility. This paper provides information on Commonwealth, State and Territory government regulatory arrangements and assistance measures relating to regional public transport in 2001-02.
A companion paper, Regional public transport in Australia: Long-distance services, trends and projections (Working Paper 51), provides information on long-distance regional public transport services in Australia, and includes a snapshot of all such services across Australia in 2000-01 and the level of demand and characteristics of regional passenger travel. |
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| Working Paper 51 - Regional Public Transport In Australia: Long-Distance Services, Trends And Projections | March 2003 |
| Regional public transport plays an important role in meeting the needs of Australians living in regional and remote areas for access to essential services and for mobility. This paper provides information on long-distance regional public transport services in Australia, and includes a snapshot of all such services across Australia in 2000-01 and the level of demand and characteristics of regional passenger travel in 1999-2000. The report also provides projections of likely future long-term trends in regional passenger travel. A companion paper, Regional public transport in Australia: Economic regulation and assistance measures (Working Paper 54), provides information on the regulatory arrangements and assistance measures relating to regional public transport. |
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| Working Paper 42 - The Supply of Air Freight Capacity to Asian Markets | March 2000 |
| The financial crisis, which struck the Asian region in 1997, had many profound and far-reaching consequences for both the countries involved and the world as a whole. This study examines one aspect of the impact of the crisis on Australia the adequacy of the air freight network to carry Australian exports to Asian markets. |
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| Working Paper 41 - Regional Aviation Competitiveness | January 2000 |
| Regional airlines can be a lifeline in remote parts of Australia. Competitiveness is an important issue in the regional aviation industry. Although regional aviation has undergone deregulation in most jurisdictions over the last decade, many single-operator routes still exist. The impact of deregulation on air services in regional Australia is an issue of interest to all levels of Government, to the passengers who use regional airlines, and to the regional airlines themselves. |
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| Report 98: Cost of Civil Aviation Accidents and Incidents | October 1998 |
| This report is one in a series expected to be published from research being undertaken into the costs of transport accidents by the Bureau of Transport Economics. The work reported on here relates to the economic costs of aviation accidents and incidents resulting from the operation of Australian aircraft in Australia for 1996. |
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| Report 97: Transport Synergies Between Eastern Indonesia and Northern Australia | January 1998 |
| This research project was designed to explore the potential for economic synergies between the two regions and the role that transport might play in their development. The project was undertaken in conjunction with the Research and Development Agency of the Indonesian Ministry of Communications. This Report presents the results of the work of the Australian project team, focusing on northern Australian aspects. |
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| Report 95: General Aviation Flying in Australia | July 1996 |
| This report examines the state of General Aviation (GA) flying in Australia. It is primarily based on a Bureau of Transport and Communications Economics survey of GA undertaken in 1994, which provided a snapshot of the industry for financial year 1992-93. Key areas examined include: the composition of the GA flying industry; flying activity; industry conduct; financial structure and performance; and industry views and perceptions. |
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| Working Paper 21 - Code Sharing in International Aviation: a Discussion Paper | February 1996 |
| This Paper has been produced to inform debate on an issue of growing significance in the aviation industry. The increasing incidence of code sharing between airlines has met with a mixed reception within the industry and government circles. It has been criticised as a form of consumer deception; it has been seen as a force both for and against competitive markets and improved service quality; and it has been pursued by airlines as a service and profit maximising strategy. |
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| Working Paper 20 - Demand Elasticities for Air Travel to and from Australia | December 1995 |
| This Working Paper explains why sound demand elasticities are of key importance to any assessment of the impact on passenger demand of changes to air services or aviation infrastructure. Using quarterly data from 1986 to 1993, the study provides updated and disaggregated estimates for Australia international travel markets through the development of econometric demand models. Twelve markets are examined: Australia-Germany, Italy, United Kingdom, Japan, Korea, Taiwan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, Fiji, New Zealand and the United States of America. The demand characteristics of different nationalities and passengers travelling for different purposes are identified and incorporated into the analysis. |
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| Working Paper 19 - General Aviation Survey Preliminary Results | November 1995 |
| During 1994 BTCE conducted a series of surveys of the General Aviation (GA) industry. These were the BTCE Survey of General Aviation 1994 (Air Operator Certificate Holders), which covered commercial GA operators and the BTCE Survey of General Aviation 1994 (Aircraft Owners), which covered business fliers and recreational fliers who own aircraft. This Paper contains the preliminary results of these surveys. |
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| Report 88: Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Australian Transport: Long Term Projections | March 1995 |
| This Report provides a 'business as usual' scenario for the emission of greenhouse gases from the Australian transport sector for the period 1993-94 to 2014-15. Models for emissions from cars, trucks, rail, sea and air transport reflect sectoral activity, fuel intensity and emission intensity factors. The models indicate that emissions from the Australian car fleet over the next two decades will decline while emissions from trucks and aircraft are likely to grow quite strongly. Background information and historical data series are also provided. |
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| Working Paper 14.4 - Adequacy of Transport Infrastructure: Airports | December 1994 |
| This Working Paper is the fourth in a series of Working Papers which disseminates the results of a large research project into the adequacy of Australia's transport infrastructure over the next 20 years. The assessment covers all four modes of transport - road, rail, air and sea - with the primary focus on freight. |
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| Information Sheet 5 - Costs of Aviation Accidents in Australia -1993 | January 1994 |
| This Information Paper details the costs of aviation accidents in Australia for 1993. Costs have been grouped into six broad categories: lost earnings of victims; family and community losses; pain and suffering; aircraft damage and property loss; insurance administration; and other. |
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| Report 86: International Aviation: Trends and Issues | December 1993 |
| This Report analyses the historical trends and current issues facing the aviation industry and comments on possible future developments in international aviation. The key areas of investigation include: airline economics; international traffic for scheduled and nonscheduled (charter) passenger services and cargo; traffic forecasts; the regulatory regime; airline operating and financial performance and capital structures; and airline growth, especially alliances and the potential for airline globalisation. In addition, appendices on special interest areas covering the creation of the European Community single aviation market, environmental regulation, airframe manufacturers and aircraft leasing are included, as are supporting data for the extensive array of graphics in the Report. |
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| Report 81: The Progress of Aviation Reform | June 1993 |
This Report is the fifth of a series of publications monitoring the progress of aviation reforms which the Bureau of Transport and Communications Economics produced from 1989. Earlier reports concentrated on domestic airline deregulation, but clearly the distinction between domestic and
international has now blurred. Accordingly, this report has a broader focus in covering some of the wider aspects of aviation reform and the changes which have occurred so far in the structure, conduct and performance of the Australian aviation industry, as well as examining in depth the net welfare gains from domestic deregulation. |
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| Working Paper 4 - Fuel Efficiency of Ships and Aircraft | November 1992 |
| This Working Paper examines past trends in the fuel efficiency of ships and aircraft, and looks at technical developments and economic factors which could yield further improvements. The periodto 2005 has received attention because of the Australian Government's 1990 decision to adopt the Toronto target, as an interim planning measure. This target involved a reduction in emissions of greenhouse gases not controlled by the Montreal Protocol to 20 per cent below 1988 levels, by 2005. |
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| Report 80: Quality of Service in Australian Passenger Aviation | November 1992 |
| Several important aviation reform initiatives have been taken in the past five years. These include the economic deregulation of interstate services, the establishment of the Federal Airports Corporation and the Civil Aviation Authority as statutory authorities, multiple designation of Australia's international air services, the start of negotiations with New Zealand on a single trans-Tasman aviation market, and the merger and privatisation of Qantas and Australian Airlines. |
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| Report 79: Social Cost of Transport Accidents in Australia | July 1992 |
| This study has refined the methodology and expanded the scope of a previous Bureau of Transport and Communications Economics study on the cost of road accidents in Australia. The human capital approach has been used in this study to estimate the social cost of road, rail, aviation and maritime accidents in Australia in 1988. |
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| Working Paper 5 - The Japan-Australia Air Route | June 1992 |
| BTCE undertook this study to identify and analyse the factors which have influenced the supply and demand for air services on the Australia-Japan route and to examine the future prospects for the route. The study examined the factors which influence the Japanese overseas travel market, such as government policies, the supply of aviation infra-structure, the structure of the Japanese tour consolidation industry and the conduct of the airlines operating on the route. It also examined how the prices of holiday packages to Australia compared with similar packages to competing destinations. |
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| Report 73: Deregulation of Domestic Aviation - The First Year | November 1991 |
| The Commonwealth's regulation of interstate aviation, in place for over thirty years, came to an end at midnight on 30 October 1990. This study reviews the developments in the last few months of regulation and in the first year of deregulation. |
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| Working Paper 1 - Greenhouse Gas Emissions in Australian Transport | May 1991 |
| The Paper details emissions from various segments of the transport sector, discusses the magnitude of the task involved in reducing transport emissions, and examines the potential for reducing them by alternative means. These include fuel economy improvements, use of alternative fuels, transport system improvements including modal shift, and reductions in discretionary travel. |
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| Occasional paper 103 - Demand Forecasts and Demand Elasticities for Australian Transport Fuel | February 1991 |
| The study focuses on the current major transport fuels, which in 1988-89 accounted for 93 per cent of Australia's transport sector energy consumption: petrol (leaded and unleaded), automotive diesel oil, fuel oil and aviation turbine fuel. Major demand forecasts examined include those of the Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics, the National Institute of Economic and Industry Research and the Australian Institute of Petroleum, based on forecasts by oil companies, to the year 2000. From an examination of these forecasts and derived own-price elasticities, the study concludes that only relatively large increases in fuel prices are likely to produce anything more than non-marginal reductionsin the levels of fuel demand. |
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| Occasional Paper 92 - Forecasting Aircraft Movements at Major Australian Airports | September 1988 |
| Forecasts for both domestic and international aircraft movements are generated for the years 1990, 1995 and 2000. From these forecasts growth rates in aircraft traffic have been calculated for the major international airports and for the major sectors in the Australian domestic aviation network. The timeseries model produces annual aircraft movements whereas the simulation model produces movements for a standard business day divided into morning, midday and evening periods. |
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| Occasional Paper 88 - Trends and Prospects for Australian International Air Transport | February 1988 |
| There has not been a comprehensive study of trends and changes in the institutional and comnercial parameters which affect Australia's international aviation industry since the International Civil Aviation Policy review of 1978. The aim of the work reported in this Paper was to document the significant developments in international aviation on both a global scale and for Australian routes in particular. The historical trends in supply of and demand for international air passenger services to and from Australia are examined and the information used to forecast passenger numbers to the year 2000 for various markets. |
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| Occasional Paper 86 - Australian Car Rental Industry Study | January 1988 |
| The car rental industry in Australia has experienced strong growth in turnover during the past decade and a correspondingly high degree of price and service competition. Industry turnover has increased from $25 million in 1975 to in excess of $200 million in 1986, with the four national operators accounting for an estimated 80 to 85 per cent of industry turnover. The study indicates that greater operator access to Commonwealth airports since 1979 has been beneficial for consumers, operators and government airport concession revenue, alike. |
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| Occasional Paper 79 - Demand for Australian Domestic Aviation Services: Forecasts by Market Segment | May 1986 |
| This Paper examines the demand for air travel in Australia and forecasts domestic passenger and freight aviation demand to the end of the century at five-year intervals. The analysis begins by reviewing recent trends in patronage and air fares. It then identifies other major factors affecting demand as background for the empirical analysis. The study period for the empirical analysis covers the past eight years, 1977 to 1984, using quarterly data. The models provide, among other things, estimates of price and income elasticities of demand (or demand responses) for air travel in Australia. Finally, the Paper presents forecast growth rates for air travel subject to different future growth scenarios to the year 2000. |
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| Information Paper 17 - Demand for NSW Intrastate Air Travel | March 1986 |
This Paper presents a demand analysis of New South Wales regional and commuter intrastate air services. The main objective of this study was to provide forecasts of patronage to the year 2000 for New South Wales regional and commuter intrastate air services. The results may assist in understanding the demand for intrastate aviation services and help in the evaluation of policy
options. |
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| Occasional Paper 72 - Competition and Regulation in Domestic Aviation: Submission to Independent Review | May 1985 |
| This Paper has been prepared as a submission to the Independent Review of Economic Regulation of Domestic Aviation. The approach followed in the submission has two parts. The first presents an analysis of the structure and performance of the airline industry under the existing system of economic regulation. The second considers the economic theory of industry structure and the general rationale for regulation and how they might be applied to the airline industry. From the performance analysis it is possible to identify areas in which performance might be improved and the theoretical considerations provide insights into possible ways in which that improvement might be achieved. |
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| Occasional Paper 66 - Market Response to Discount Domestic Air Fares | January 1985 |
| The introduction by East-West Airlines of low-cost fares on the Sydney- Melbourne and Sydney-Brisbane routes in the first half of 1983 generated considerable debate within the aviation industry. The early stages of this debate were characterised by a lack of data on the passenger response to these innovative fares. In this Paper the results of a series of four surveys and an analysis of trunk network patronage designed to assess passenger response to discount air fares are described. The work was not restricted to the response of East-West Airlines' passengers but also included the response of passengers who travelled with Ansett Airlines of Australia and Trans Australia Airlines. One of the implications from this analysis is that a policy of minimising spillage of full fare passengers may be inconsistent with profit maximisation in the short term. Another implication is that optimal seat reservation procedures require data on the unsatisfied demand for full and discount fares. |
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| Report 59: National Aerodrome Plan: A Strategic Framework | November 1984 |
| The production and development of a 'National Aerodrome Plan' (NAP) represents a continuous and, in many ways, an evolving process. However, the development of a strategic framework, as presented in this Report, allows the presentation of quantitative and qualitative information and methodologies which need to be considered in developing a national perspective for the Plan. |
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| Report 58: Social Audit and Australian Transport Evaluation | May 1984 |
| This Report covers the interpretation of the social audit concept, the methodology for its application and potential areas of application to Australian transport. The Report also considers possible guidelines and proposals for promoting the social audit approach. |
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| Report 57: Central North NSW Transport Alternatives | May 1984 |
| In March 1982 the Northern Transport Study Committee presented a submission to the Bureau of Transport Economics (BTE) on the inadequacies of the transport system serving the Gwydir and Macintyre River Valleys, commonly referred to as the north-west slopes and plains area of New South Wales. Subsequently, in response to a Ministerial reference the BTE undertook this study in which the economic and financial implications of a range of transport alternatives for this region are examined. |
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| Occasional Paper 50 - Airport Runway Capacity and Delay: Some Models for Planners and Managers | March 1982 |
| This Paper seeks to provide an understanding of runway capacity and of the factors on which it depends. The analysis is incorporated in a set of easy-to-use models for the estimation of delays to aircraft under any given pattern of demand. These models are intended to provide the planner with simple tools for the rapid assessment of the impact on delay of changes in demand such as might be achieved by regulatory or pricing policies. In addition the capacity analysis itself forms the basis for a rapid preliminary assessment of the impact of alternative runway configurations, new aircraft types or altered separation standards. |
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| Occasional Paper 46 - Demand for International Air Travel: a Conceptual and Operational Framework | June 1981 |
| The emphasis in this paper is on the development of a suitable conceptual and operational framework within which a policy-sensitive empirical travel choice model could be estimated. Functional Measurement and Discrete Choice Theory provide the theoretical base from which models of individuals' choices can be derived. The aim of this paper is to outline a method which is capable of identifying international air fare structures to various destinations that accord with the likely choices of individuals (both current and potential travellers). The information obtained will permit the determination of a reduced-set of feasible air fare structures which represent a compromise with the full range of possible alternatives. Particular emphasis is given to identifying the variation in frequency of choice of international air travel to various destinations as a result of changes in air fare structures. |
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| Occasional Paper 34 - Economic and Financial Issues Associated with General Aviation in Australia | May 1980 |
| This study represents the second part of a major research effort in the General Aviation area which was conducted with the objective of providing background material for the current Commonwealth Department of Transport review of General Aviation policy. This research presents results of statistical investigation into the basic characteristics of General Aviation in Australia and examines the economic and financial issues associated with General Aviation. Major topics covered in the study include an overview of the operational, financial and economic characteristics of General Aviation, the determinants of the demand for and supply of General Aviation services and the identification of appropriate mechanisms for cost recovery. |
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| Occasional Paper 33 - Basic Characteristics of General Aviation in Australia | February 1980 |
| This Occasional Paper reports on the basic characteristics of Australian General Aviation. Information on these characteristics provides an essential background to the understanding and interpretatian of General Aviation. In this Paper, attention is focused on the types of aircraft used in General Aviation, the size and geographical distribution of General Aviation operations, the various kinds of General Aviation activities undertaken; and the economic cost structure faced by General Aviation operators. In addition, a partial analysis of the demand characteristics of some users of scheduled commuter and charter services is presented. |
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| Occasional Paper 25 - Sydney Region Aviation Forecasts | September 1978 |
| The Paper presents methods used for forecasting future passenger and aircraft movements at Sydney Airport. Forecast movements at 5-year intervals to the year 2000 are also presented using these methods, on the basis of assumptions about the future course of many underlying determinants such as population, income, fares, aircraft types, load factors and so on. The forecasts were prepared in support of the Major Airports Needs of Sydney (MANS) Study, and embody assumptions adopted by a Forecasting Consultative Group consisting of members drawn from various Commonwealth and State Government bodies. |
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| Occasional Paper 15 - Australian Domestic Air Transport : Some Economic Issues | January 1978 |
| The importance of an efficient transport system for Australia is self-evident. Not surprisingly, both public investment and government legislation have been employed to develop transport networks over time. Domestic air transport is a most important component of the Australian transport sector. Any inquiry into the status and future of domestic air transport policies is clearly an important study, and the current Department of Transport Review of Domestic Air Transport Policy has particularly wide implications. This Paper was originally prepared by BTE in response to a general request by the Department of Transport for submissions on domestic air transport policies in Australia. Only minor revisions have been made. |
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| Occasional Paper 11 - Factors Affecting Demand for International Travel to and from Australia | December 1977 |
| This Occasional Paper reports on an analysis of the factors affecting the demand for international air travel. This analysis serves as a basis for forecasting the response of demand to changes in key policy variables, in particular fares and some aspects of the level of service. The implications for demand for travel to and from Australia of several alternative fare service packages are presented. |
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| Report 9: Brisbane Airport: Interim Report on International Terminal | July 1973 |
| This Report represents part of a full-scale study by BTE, at the direction of the Minister for Transport, of the development requirements for Brisbane Airport. The full report will be issued at a later date and will present a detailed examination of the civil aviation requirements of the region and the appropriate expansion/replacement program. |
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